In the case of July 23 against the Reds, Ray’s fWAR would be the same, no matter the order the third inning played out. It would be almost exactly the same, regardless of whether the third baseman botched the play in the first.
The question is whether Ray deserves to be treated as “normal” on those things FanGraphs WAR strips out. In his career, he has allowed a BABIP nearly 50 points higher than the league average — and the highest BABIP A.J. Klein Authentic Jersey in baseball during that time (minimum 250 innings). He has been significantly worse with runners on base, which means he has been more prone to sequences like the one above that lead to runs.
Either Ray is still flushing the bad luck out of his system — a reasonable, if uncertain, assumption — or he has individual deficiencies that FanGraphs WAR doesn’t pick up.
That’s still a mix-and-match outfield (Guillermo Heredia is part of the picture as well) without one big bat, but Dipoto has given Servais a lot of platoon possibilities. Seattle’s rotation is now Hernandez, Hisashi Iwakuma, James Paxton, Ariel Miranda and Nathan Karns, with no obvious depth and Iwakuma and Paxton two high injury risks. The estimated payroll is already at its 2016 level, so adding another starting pitcher likely means a significant payroll increase for 2017. But given the ages of Cano, Cruz, Iwakuma and Hernandez, Seattle has to be all-in for 2017. I would expect twitchy-finger Dipoto to make another deal for a starting pitcher.
Marte: After playing well in a 57-game call-up in 2015, Marte was a huge disappointment, posting a .287 OBP and making 21 errors. He’s still very young as well — he played the entire season at 22 — but lacks power and an aggressive approach hurt him in 2016. Marte is a good athlete, and if he can improve his patience at the plate, like he showed in 2015, there’s some potential upside here. Nick Ahmed is a plus defender but can’t hit, so Marte should take over as the starting shortstop.
Haniger: A possible sleeper, Haniger is a right-handed-hitting outfielder Andrew Norwell Authentic Jersey with enough range to play center. He’ll be 26 in December, but he could be a late bloomer after adding a leg kick during the 2015 season (more on that here from Dave Cameron at FanGraphs).